Event Results
AAFA: Harry Rulnick Open (Sanctioned)Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | AMOROSO John | V V V V V V | V V | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| 2 | MCRAE Steve | V D V D V V | V V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 3 | GUEVARRA Gerhard V. | V V V D V D | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 3 | KARNAVAS William | V V D V D D | V D | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 5 | VERGARA Jayson | D D V V V D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 6 | SPAHR Gregory G. | D D D D D V | D | 1.0 | 1 | - |
| 7 | COHEN Peter | D D D D D D | D | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |