Granite State Open

Senior Women's Épée

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Seacoast Fencing Club- Rochester - Rochester, NH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 CALDWELL Phoebe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 BRISK Angelica A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
3 ERIKSEN Kate 100% 55% 15% 2% < 1% - - -
3 MURTALA Aisha 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% < 1% - -
5 REYNOLDS Nancy 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
6 ROQUE Alexis 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
7 DUSINLLEUX Kate D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
8 BANNING Grace 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
9 CHOY Ida 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 5% -
10 CHACE-ORTIZ Naneen 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - - -
11 COLLIER Samara 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
12 JENSEN MJ 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
13 POPE MCCRIGHT Emma 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 1%
14 WILFORD Lauren 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 3% - -
15 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 97% 77% 38% 10% 1% - -
16 BECK Sara 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.