Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
2 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
3 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
3 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 3%
5 MOON Claire 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
6 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
7 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
8 KIM Grace 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
9 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
10 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 15%
11 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
12 SUN Yi 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
13 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
14 UZAR Julianna 100% 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% -
15 YOUNG Sienna 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
16 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
17 KANG Soeun 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
18 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
19 LIU Chelsea 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
20 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
21 HU Alicia 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
22 WANG MONA 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
23 REDA Sophie 100% 98% 75% 34% 8% 1%
24 KWON Ava 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
25 CAI Xinyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
26 KATZ Emma 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
27 DUTA Lyra 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
28 LAFFY Lily 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 9%
29 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
30 NG Sophia 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 10%
31 VATS Ishita 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
32 KIM Audrey 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 17%
33 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
34 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
35 DESAUTELS Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
36 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
37 HO Sophia 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
38 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
39 HUANG Zoe 100% 97% 76% 38% 11% 1% -
40 JAJRA Avni 100% 82% 38% 9% 1% -
41 WONG Charlene 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29% 4%
42 PARK Gabriella 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
43 BARNES Sarah 100% 96% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
44 CAFAGNA Sofia 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
45 HILD Anya 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
46 ILAGAN Ava 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
47 WEI Madison 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
48 LEE Grace 100% 95% 70% 27% 4%
49 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
50 DILALLO Olivia 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
51 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
51 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
53 MISHRA Riona 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
54 WU Harper 100% 100% 90% 51% 14% 2% -
55 HU Sophia 100% 88% 51% 16% 3% - -
56 DEMRY Kylee 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
57 GOODWIN Julia 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
58 TASSONE Charlie 100% 71% 26% 4% -
59 SHI Chuqing 100% 80% 36% 7% -
60 LEE Kaitlin 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
61 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 96% 61% 22% 4% - -
62 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
63 VATSA Shradha 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
64 LIAO Amber 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
65 UPBIN Olivia 100% 13% 1% - - - -
66 LAU Teagan 100% 22% 2% - - -
67 LIU Teresa 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
68 MADDISON Erica 100% 56% 15% 2% - - -
69 BUCCINO Sloane 100% 71% 23% 4% - - -
70 PATEL Sia 100% 23% 2% - - - -
70 VINBOR COSTA SANTOS Sasha 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% - -
70 FINCH Skylar 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
73 WELLS Charlotte 100% 99% 80% 32% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.