Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ILICHEVA Adriana 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
2 ZHANG Nikki 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
3 MULLER Inara 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
5 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
6 LAMTAN Trinity 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
7 FENG chloe 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5% -
8 AVATAPALLI Sri Aadya 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
9 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
10 ONG Katherine 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
11 JOSEPH Azalée 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 3%
12 CHEN Chloe 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
13 XU Isabella 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3%
14 WU Jing 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
15 YAP Anna 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4%
16 GAWLOWSKI Aurelia 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
17 SARBU Esme 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
18 WILLER Anna 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
19 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3%
20 AN Jasmine 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
21 YANG Rachel 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
22 ALPEROVICH Madeline 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
23 FREY Elise 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
24 LEE Kady Hayen 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
25 KONG Hermione 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
26 KRISHNAN Anu 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
27 CHANG Daisy 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
28 BREWSTER Ayaki 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
29 PUR-RASHID Kiva 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
30 LEE Claribel 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
31 RIFKIN Talia 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
32 HONG Eden 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
33 MADDISON Estelle 100% 97% 77% 38% 8% -
34 GAO Anita 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 1%
35 UY Zoe 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
36 MOSHAROVA Natalia 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
37 PRAKASH Lithika 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1%
38 ZHANG Annalyn 100% 99% 87% 56% 21% 4%
39 SINGH Zara 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
40 OTAZU Clara 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
41 HAN Abigail 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
42 SHRESTHA Arya 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
43 POTDAR Harper 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
44 DEMATTEIS Katarina 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
45 DLUGY Daniella 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
46 DY Azurie 100% 56% 16% 3% - -
46 TANG Julia 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
48 TARAS Jaanvi 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
49 LEOU Eliana 100% 62% 21% 4% - -
49 HOANG Vienna 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
51 MADDISON Emily 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.