2025 TCFC October Challenges

Senior Women's Épée

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 10:45 AM

TCFC - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CULVER Hannah 100% 97% 72% 30% 5%
2 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
3 SCHLIEP Anna J. 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
3 ROSSOW Susana (Sukey) 100% 98% 82% 46% 12%
5 BENGTSON Jasmine 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
6 MOHAMED Sara 100% 91% 45% 9% 1%
7 KOLPIN Elise 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
8 SISKIND Leah 100% 50% 11% 1% -
9 JORGENSEN Rebekah 100% 97% 78% 39% 9%
10 TELCI Arya 100% 98% 82% 43% 9%
11 CAVEN Emerald 100% 99% 87% 49% 11%
12 KARLSON Taylor 100% 100% 92% 64% 22%
13 PETERSON Penelope 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 6%
14 MOHAMED Siham 100% 97% 81% 44% 11%
15 MANCELL Hope 100% 99% 84% 46% 11%
16 SOLODIN Katia 100% 65% 23% 4% -
17 SKJEI Josephine 100% 96% 74% 36% 8%
18 KOT Zuzanna 100% 76% 31% 6% - -
19 YATES Hartney 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
20 SCHLUENDER Perie 100% 39% 7% 1% -
21 BIALOSTOSKY Elanor 100% 98% 79% 30% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.