2025 TCFC October Challenges

Senior Mixed Saber

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 1:00 PM

TCFC - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GROSSMAN Spencer - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
2 TOEWS Jackson - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
3 PERLENFEIN Tyler J. - 1% 9% 30% 38% 19% 3%
3 ROSENFRISK Andrew - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
5 HICKNER Gabe 8% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
6 JORGENSEN Kjirsten 22% 48% 25% 5% - - -
7 LEIS Alexander 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.