Point Impact Halloween Bash [SANCTIONED]

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 10:00 AM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LI Mason 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
2 ZHAI Muyan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
3 KO Alyssa 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
3 TUNG Alison 100% 91% 49% 9% 1%
5 DONG YIKUN 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
6 YANG Arthur 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
7 LUI Jamie 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
8 CHEN Chloe 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
9 YUAN Vincent 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 10%
10 ZENG Cayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
11 GAO Nicole 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
12 ZHANG Bryant 100% 98% 80% 29% 3%
13 LOU Alexander 100% 99% 83% 43% 10% 1%
14 CHANG Audrey 100% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
15 CHANG George 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 3%
16 LOPEZ-HOR Emma Meixian 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% -
17 WANG Connor 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
18 WONG Kingston 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
19 DONG Ena 100% 76% 32% 7% 1%
20 ZHENG Ivan 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
21 SIN Chad 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
22 MAHAJAN Mira 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
23 LEE Jayden 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
24 YANG Ariel 100% 72% 21% 2% - -
25 LEW Abigail 100% 99% 88% 56% 17% 2%
26 NG Genevieve 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
27 LUK Emily 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
28 LEE Jasper 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
29 XIE Chen 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.