Point Impact Halloween Bash [SANCTIONED]

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 2:00 PM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIN Zhengxuan 100% 99% 88% 50% 11%
2 SITU Baiqin 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
3 ZHU Claire 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
3 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 100% 92% 60% 17%
5 KHANAL Sarah 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
6 AGARWAL Jagrav 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
7 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
8 ZHANG Katie 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
9 BHOOMI Abhiram 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
10 ZHANG Annabelle 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
11 DONG YIKUN 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
12 ZENG Cayden 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 10%
13 XIE Garrett 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 10%
14 HO Kasper 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
16 NILANGEKAR Nikita 100% 95% 62% 22% 4% -
17 LIN Tiffany 100% 99% 91% 54% 13%
18 CHEN Chloe 100% 97% 74% 26% 3% -
19 WONG Sebastian 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
20 LAI Olivia 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
21 CHEN Celina 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
22 SIN Chad 100% 99% 88% 53% 11% 1%
23 YANG Jaron 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
24 SOUSA Lauren 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
25 KAUDER Rourke 100% 77% 16% 1% - -
26 LI Mason 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
27 GAO Nicole 100% 100% 97% 77% 33% 5%
28 TUNG Alison 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
29 HSU Courtney 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% -
30 POOREY Sophie 100% 65% 19% 2% -
31 LUI Jamie 100% 99% 90% 44% 10% 1%
32 WONG Kingston 100% 69% 20% 2% -
33 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% -
34 LUO Derren 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
35 MISSON Arya 100% 90% 53% 15% 2% -
36 KAYAL Alexander 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
37 KIM Owen 100% 89% 52% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.