River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, October 26, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
2 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
3 HUANG Neila 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
3 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
5 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
6 YADAV Tishya 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 12%
7 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
8 ROSTHOLDER Hannah 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
9 BARROSO Isabela 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 44% 9%
10 XIE Nora 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
11 GUO Daisy 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
12 TOPALOV Julia 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
13 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 100% 96% 75% 32% 5%
14 KNULL Emma 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
15 HUCHWAJDA Pola 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 18%
16 CHEN Victoria 100% 100% 96% 75% 29% 5% -
17 PHILLIPPY Hannah 100% 89% 51% 14% 1% -
18 KIM Grace 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
19 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 73% 27% 4% - - -
20 FANG Elena 100% 92% 58% 18% 2% -
21 FANG Darcy 100% 77% 32% 5% - - -
22 VANNIER Anouk 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
23 WILFRET Katerina 100% 89% 51% 12% 1% - -
24 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 99% 88% 58% 25% 6% 1%
25 JOHNSON Marlee 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
26 SHOWKIER Amal 100% 45% 10% 1% - - -
27 MING Emma 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.