AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Cadet Women's Saber

Friday, October 31, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Yixuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 LIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
3 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
3 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
5 KWON Hannah 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 5%
6 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
7 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
8 BABOLDASHTIAN Rosegol 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 3%
9 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
10 YE Isabella 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
11 WONG Natalie 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
12 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 32%
13 LIU Hannah 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
14 KIM Satie 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 8%
15 HAN Emma 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
16 HSIEH Lucia 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
17 LIN Ariel 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% < 1%
18 PARK Chloe 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
19 YU Stella 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
20 CHENG Anna 100% 97% 71% 30% 6% -
21 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
22 LIN Annika 100% 100% 94% 71% 29% 4%
23 DUFF Caitlin 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% -
24 DOXAN Sarah 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
25 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
26 YU Skylar 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
27 LAI Karen 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
28 MAO Elsa 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
29 TONG Laurie 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
30 KO Ariel 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
31 HWANG Charlotte 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
32 NING Lynn 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
33 KINKADE Ellie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
34 MOON Claire 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
35 LONG Chloe 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
36 CÓRDOVA BRAVO Marijan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
37 LAUREYNS Ainsley 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1%
38 DIMAPILIS JHEAVEN 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
39 BORTAI Eliza 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
40 ZHAI AMY 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 12%
41 KIRBY Skye 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
42 BHAVSAR Vanmayi 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1%
43 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
44 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
45 DING Jolie 100% 99% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
46 JUNG Sienna 100% 98% 70% 29% 6% 1% -
47 WONG Cerise 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
48 SAYONE Liliana 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
49 FEENER Paige 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
50 SUN Angela 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
51 CAI Veronica 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% -
52 MAO anna 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 5%
53 ZOFFEL Gabriela 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
54 ZHANG JADY 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
55 LI Miranda 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
56 HU Ashley 100% 99% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
57 ASPIRAS Avery 100% 97% 68% 26% 5% - -
58 SUNG Isabella 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
59 CAO arissa 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
60 VIGNEUX Nolwenn 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
61 LIQUARD Lea 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
62 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
63 OH Chloe 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
64 SONG Phoebe 100% 88% 47% 14% 2% - -
65 LEMMEN Jasmijn 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
66 LIM Eunice 100% 97% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
67 NGUYEN Summer 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
68 CAI Joanna 100% 96% 75% 40% 11% 1%
69 LI Meredith 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
70 MORINAGA Mirai 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 4% -
71 PANCHAL Arya 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
72 FANG Lauren 100% 19% 1% - - - -
73 YANG Renee 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
74 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
75 YAO Reeva 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
76 JOHNSTON Sabrina 100% 32% 4% - - -
77 ERPELDING Emily 100% 83% 42% 10% 1% -
78 CHAUHAN Mehek 100% 17% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.