Trick or Retreat RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 12:00 PM

NJ Convention & Exposition Center - Edison, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
2 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
3 BERA Enzo 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
3 YAN William 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
5 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
6 ALAVE Kyle 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
7 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
8 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
9 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
10 SADHU Neiyam 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 23% 4%
11 WONG Max 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
12 UEMOTO Ken 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
13 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
14 TSAO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
15 CAI Jeff 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
16 WONG Caleb W. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
17 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
18 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
19 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
20 NIEBERGALL Jaxson 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
21 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4%
22 JI Johnson 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 63% 12%
23 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
24 WANG William 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
25 BROENING-CHAI Jonas 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
26 WANG Theodore 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
27 SONG Aidan 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
28 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
29 LAZARTE Gabriel 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
30 WEI William 100% 97% 81% 51% 22% 5% 1%
31 VEDRE Neil 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
32 RIDKY Sam 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 2%
33 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
34 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9% -
35 LI Cooper 100% 98% 88% 64% 32% 10% 1%
36 LUCAS William 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7%
37 BALE ATMAN 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
38 MCDONALD Finn 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
39 FIROOZI Sam 100% 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
40 LIU Marvin 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
41 ORTHMANN Tristin 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
42 NG Nathaniel 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 4% -
43 TSAO Alister 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
44 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
45 LEVIN Jacob 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% -
46 CHEN Brendan 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
47 SWIFT Owen 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
48 ALSINA Itzel 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 2%
49 WANG Alex 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
50 ZHANG Ray 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
51 DE SIENA Salvatore 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
52 WASCO Andrew 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
53 LEVY Jack 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
54 JANG Junyeong 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3% -
55 NELSON Micah 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
56 DEMERS Bodhi 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
57 LORENZ Evan 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
58 ZWAKA Jonas 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 4%
59 JARAMILLO Juan 100% 92% 64% 30% 8% 1% -
60 BAHK Caleb 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
61 CHU Kaden 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% - -
62 LI Michael 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
63 MARCELLINO Robert 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% -
63 PARK Inwoo 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
65 STEWART Samuel 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
66 ROMBERG Sam 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
67 MARTINSON Torm 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
68 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% 1% -
69 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 13% 2%
70 LIU Eric 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
71 MELE Gianni 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3%
72 GREENE Kevin 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% -
73 SALDARINI Glenn 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
74 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
75 CHENG Hong 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
76 ORIE Sohan 100% 96% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
77 NAJI Ethan 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
78 SOMANI Aarav 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
79 LIU Guanyu 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
80 SAYAR Luke 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
81 LIU Ryan 100% 97% 83% 55% 24% 6% 1%
82 MENZIES Liam 100% 63% 23% 5% 1% - -
83 PERRY Xander 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
84 BONEVELLY Nikolas 100% 66% 20% 3% - - -
85 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
86 JIN Yubo 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
87 SUN Stephen 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1% -
87 ZHANG Joseph 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
89 DAYAMA Ronak 100% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
90 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% -
91 COPP Max 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
92 LIANA Matthew 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% - -
93 KHAN Abdur-Rahman 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.