JLMFC Cadet Challenge

Cadet Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 9:00 AM

J.L. Mann High School - Greenville, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RILEY Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
2 ALLEN Charles 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 4%
3 SHULER Alden 100% 92% 60% 19% 3% < 1%
3 BROADHURST Julien 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
5 GILLIAM Riley 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
6 JOHNSON-MOODY Aiden 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
7 MILLER Ella-Kate 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
8 BACA GALO Dereck 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
9 SHIEH Kiley 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
10 WATKINS Alexander 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2% -
11 MANTOFEDCZUK Daniel 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
12 TWIGG Michael 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
13 DEVINE Paul Michael 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
14 WILSON Mason 100% 94% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
15 ZANK Zinni 100% 93% 62% 20% 3% -
16 SASSER Payten 100% 99% 86% 40% 7% -
17 ALEXANDER Hannah 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% -
18 CARROLL aiden 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 1%
20 TANNER Claire 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.