DMFC's 7th annual Jack-O-Lantern tournament (3-wea

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 2:00 PM

West Des Moines Christian Church - West Des Moines, IA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MILLER Levi H. - - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
2 DERSHWITZ Philip C. - - - 6% 30% 44% 19%
3 BECHTEL Trent - 4% 43% 39% 12% 1%
3 EASTER Christopher - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
5 CARRA Trevor A. - 2% 14% 40% 33% 10% 1%
6 LARSON Drake - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
7 JOHNSTONE Mathew 2% 32% 43% 19% 3% - -
8 NEAL Trevon 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
9 SHRESTHA Arwin 1% 12% 34% 36% 14% 2%
10 LANCASTER Frankie - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
11 RASMUSSEN Abigail 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
12 RHEA Evan 69% 28% 3% - - - -
13 DANCA Brooke 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.