2026 BFC Youth Series 2

Unrated Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
2 XI Emily 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
3 OLVECZKY Camilla 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 1%
3 ZHAO Ailsa 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
5 KANDHI Aryaa 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
6 GUAN Charlotte 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
7 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
8 OZALP Tara 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
9 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
10 MORALES Valentina 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
11 SHANG Adeline 100% 68% 26% 5% - -
12 BURDICK Gwendolen 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.