SAS Saber Unrated and D & Under

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HOLMES Xavier 100% 99% 87% 49% 10%
3 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
3 XIA Daniel 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2%
5 CHIU Philippa 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3%
6 LOWE Devon 100% 100% 99% 84% 31%
7 RASHELL Simon 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
8 VALENTINE Rhys 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
9 RAMAN Indira 100% 97% 78% 38% 8%
10 VACCA Giovanni 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
11 LEE River L 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
12 NEARMAN Christopher 100% 100% 94% 66% 21%
13 BECK Mica 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
14 STATEN Joseph 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
15 DEVASIA Nisha 100% 99% 91% 59% 18%
16 WONG Lucia 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
17 SUNIDJA Indira 100% 81% 38% 8% -
18 REITER Michael L. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
19 YANG Caroline 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
20 COPPA Neal 100% 99% 87% 54% 16%
21 DAVISSON Zack 100% 93% 59% 18% 2%
22 BEELER Parker 100% 80% 38% 8% 1%
22 MOULTON Andrew 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
24 HODZIC Hana 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
26 MEDINA Andres A. 100% 94% 62% 20% 2%
27 WONG Alice 100% 85% 33% 6% - -
28 CHAUDHURI Urvashi 100% 93% 62% 20% 1%
29 LOWREY Zola 100% 54% 14% 2% -
30 DALELA Neel 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
31 OTIENO Jamila 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
32 WEST Mia 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
33 NAMMI Simhadri 100% 47% 10% 1% -
34 DEGEN Anita L. 100% 99% 87% 43% 10% 1%
35 BRENNAN Annabelle 100% 54% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.