EFC's A Nightmare on Elm Street 2025

Y-14 Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 1, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Enfield Fencing Club - Enfield, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1 JEONG Zion - - - - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
2 STARVISH Mitchell - - 1% 9% 24% 33% 23% 8% 1% -
3 BROGAN Samantha 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 2% < 1% - - -
3 CROWELL Joseph - - - 2% 9% 20% 29% 25% 12% 2%
5 TUCKER Levi - - 1% 5% 14% 27% 30% 18% 5% -
6 TUCKER Neil 1% 5% 17% 28% 27% 16% 6% 1% - -
7 GAZZOLA Viola 21% 41% 27% 9% 1% - - - - -
8 MARSH Gracelyn - < 1% 3% 13% 27% 31% 19% 6% 1% -
9 FOGELSTROM Lily - - 5% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% - -
10 CONNOLLY Bryce - 1% 5% 16% 28% 29% 17% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.