Event Results
Capital Fencing Academy Musketeer Circuit #1Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | RADELL Zoe | V V D V V | V V V V | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 2 | LI Nathan | V V V V V | V V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 3 | CHANG Eleanor | V V V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 3 | HOWELL Vivienne | V V V V D | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 5 | CHANG Isaac | D V V V V | V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 6 | FERRARO Antonio | V V V V D | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 7 | LAM Hilda | D V V D V | D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 8 | CHEUNG Clara | D D V V V | V D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 9 | LEBOWITZ Charles | V D D D V | D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 10 | WU Hans Missing ID | 0.0 | 0 | - | ||
| 11 | GARCIA Madelin | V D D D V | D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 12 | ENRIQUEZ Ava | V V D D D | D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 13 | RADELL Zachary | V V D D D | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 14 | FERRARO Marco | D D D D V | V D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 15 | LIN Athena | D D V D V | V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 16 | WANG Wilson | D D D V D | V D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 17 | ARCHULETA Gabriela ("Pepper") | D D D V D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 18 | LIU Allen | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 19 | YIU Bella | D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |