Event Results
Capital Fencing Academy Musketeer Circuit #1Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | THOMAS Tre | V V D V V V | V V V V | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 2 | HU Emily | D V V V V V | V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 3 | LI Nathan | V V V V V | V V D | 2.7 | 5 | +2.3 |
| 3 | SUN Leo | V V V V V | V V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 5 | BADMUS David | V V D V V | V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 6 | RADELL Zoe | V D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 7 | CHANG Eleanor | V V D V D | V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 8 | HUANG Joseph | V D D V D V | V D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 9 | HOWELL Vivienne | V V V V D D | D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 10 | WANG Emily | D V V V D | D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 11 | ARCHULETA Felipe | V V D D D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 12 | NEPPALLI Dhruv | D D V D V | D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 13 | SADHU Mira | D D V D V | D | 0.9 | 2 | +1.1 |
| 14 | KETCHUM Henry | D V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 15 | ROSENBLATT-HOERST Simon | D V D D D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 16 | SVERDLOV Max | D D D D D | V D | 2.2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| 17 | ABRAHAM-SABNIS Violet | D D D D V D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 18 | JACOBSON Adi | D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 19 | HUX Robert | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |