2026 BFC Youth Series 2

E & Under Y-14 Women's Épée

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 59% 28% 6%
2 MCMAHON Julia 100% 99% 93% 75% 47% 21% 6% 1% -
3 BOYLE Bridget 100% 100% 99% 96% 84% 61% 32% 11% 2%
3 OLVECZKY Camilla 100% 100% 100% 98% 91% 72% 43% 17% 3%
5 BIGGS Posie 100% 99% 90% 68% 39% 15% 4% 1% -
6 SPRINGER Lily 100% 100% 97% 87% 65% 36% 14% 3% -
7 SHEK Isabella 100% 100% 98% 92% 74% 46% 20% 5% 1%
8 CURTIN Evelyn 100% 99% 90% 69% 40% 16% 4% 1% -
9 KING Samantha 100% 91% 65% 33% 11% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.