2026 BFC Youth Series 2

E & Under Y-14 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
3 DAI Jason 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
3 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 96% 71% 27% 2% -
5 LIU George 100% 100% 93% 65% 21%
6 HOLBROOK Silas 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
7 BURDICK Elijah 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
8 ACHILOV Murod 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
9 CIANCHETTA David 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
10 LIU Easun 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% -
11 SULLIVAN Dennis 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
12 ZOU Grant 100% 88% 49% 12% 1%
13 ZHENG Yicheng Will 100% 94% 65% 22% 1%
14 CHEN Hayden 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
15 SON Joshua 100% 62% 15% 1% -
16 NAGELHOUT Cole 100% 64% 20% 3% -
17 SARKAR Aum 100% 96% 73% 28% 1%
18 WOLBACH Chase 100% 100% 86% 46% 10%
19 BORUNOV Peter 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
20 YADAV Aarav 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
21 FLANNICK Cole 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 7%
22 ALI Zakaria 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 1%
23 ARMEY Alexander 100% 80% 37% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.