Capitol Division Tom Wright Memorial Veterans Tournament

Veteran Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 2, 2025 at 11:30 AM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PATTERSON Malcolm (Werewolf) D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
2 RUSANOV Oleg 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
3 ZAIDI Sohail 100% 99% 88% 43% 8% -
3 WU Geoffrey 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
5 MAHNKEN Thomas G. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
6 ORLOVA ELENA 100% 63% 21% 4% < 1% -
7 BUCHANAN Jonah 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 12%
8 CROWE Nathan 100% 99% 83% 49% 18% 4% -
9 LEE Hans 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
10 THURMAN Allison L. 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 6%
11 ALZONA Esperanza P. 100% 96% 67% 26% 4% -
12 GALVAN Ivan 100% 97% 79% 40% 8% 1%
13 NESTERUK Hope 100% 28% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.