RYC/RJC of the Rockies Fall

Y-12 Men's Épée

Friday, November 7, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIN Logan - 4% 27% 48% 20% 1%
2 MATUSOW Brandon 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
3 WINE Owen - - 14% 47% 40%
3 ORIGER John - 1% 26% 51% 22%
5 SZETO Jonathan 12% 56% 28% 5% - -
6 NGUYEN Norris 1% 10% 30% 39% 20% 1%
7 ZHOU James - - - 4% 32% 63%
8 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 37% 60% 2% - -
9 ROTHSCHILD Jonah - - 1% 15% 49% 35%
10 WILLIAMS Peter - 2% 38% 46% 14%
11 ANDERSON Bergen 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
12 CHANG Ephram - 2% 16% 40% 35% 6%
13 DOLEZAL Grayson 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
14 YEO Sebastian - 5% 26% 40% 24% 5%
15 THORSON Urban 59% 40% 2% - -
16 ANDERSON Aramis 61% 33% 6% - - -
17 BARTELT Alexander 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.