GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div III Men's Saber

Friday, November 7, 2025 at 8:00 AM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TURNER Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
2 LEHMAN Matthew 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
3 MACGREGOR Grant 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 NARUT Oscar 100% 98% 77% 37% 8% -
5 NAFTALI Ori 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
6 GUZIEC Robert 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1%
7 LEE Seungdon 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
8 BARROWS Hunter 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
9 OXIE Matthew 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1%
10 KANIA Alexander 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
11 JANYSKA Allen 100% 33% 5% - - -
12 RICKERT Michael A. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.