GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div II Men's Saber

Friday, November 7, 2025 at 12:00 PM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MACGREGOR Grant 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
2 TURNER Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
3 YUAN Kevin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
3 LEHMAN Matthew 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
5 KANIA Alexander 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 1%
6 KESSENS Keith J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
7 CHING Grant 100% 72% 29% 6% - -
8 NARUT Oscar 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
9 LEE Seungdon 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
10 BARROWS Hunter 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
11 MCGAFFEY Rowan 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
12 NAFTALI Ori 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
13 OXIE Matthew 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.