Stick Season Tournament

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Vergennes Union High School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WEI Zikun 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
3 BUSH Thomas 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
3 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
5 LI Ray 100% 94% 39% 8% 1% -
6 NUTOVYCH David 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
7 LI Fei 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 1%
8 MORI Seneca 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
9 BARR Samuel 100% 92% 48% 10% 1%
10 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
11 CAO Gavin 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
12 HAN Keyi 100% 99% 75% 32% 6% -
13 MAY Ciaran 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
14 LEVANDOWSKI Jim 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
15 LIN George 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
16 MEAGHER Roderick 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% -
17 OSHIMA Robert 100% 99% 84% 43% 10% -
18 LUSSIER Jesse B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
19 RUGGLES William R. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
20 WHITEHURST JJ 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
21 CRAWFORD Chandler 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 1%
22 GLAZER Adam 100% 96% 76% 39% 9% -
23 MARCOUX Alexander 100% 97% 73% 29% 4%
24 COFFIN Carleton 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
25 COLLIER Samara 100% 50% 9% 1% - -
26 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% -
27 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 55% 14% 2% - -
28 FERLAND Brent 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
29 PEDEN Emily 100% 51% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.