Stick Season Tournament

E & Under Mixed Épée

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Vergennes Union High School - South Burlington, VT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIU Easun 100% 100% 92% 54% 7% < 1%
2 FERLAND Brent 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
3 CROTHER-COLLADO Gabriela 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 15%
3 AKEHURST MOORE Ian 100% 100% 96% 69% 25% 3%
5 LIN George 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
6 GLAZER Adam 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
7 POWERFREEMAN Mark 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
8 KROHN Daphne 100% 97% 69% 24% 3% -
9 COLLIER Samara 100% 99% 91% 61% 19% 2%
10 PEARSALL William 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
11 LAMB Linus 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
12 HARDIN Conner 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
13 MORI Natsuko 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
14 WHEELER Michele L. 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
15 HUENINK Jean Louise 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
16 PEDEN Evelyn 100% 81% 35% 6% - -
17 PEDEN Emily 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% -
18 LAMB Gus 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.