Troy Cullen Memorial Halloween Open (W&M)

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 4:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SOUDERS Peter F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
2 SU Landon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 89%
3 LIN Felix 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
3 CRAIN Bennett 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
5 FORT David 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 39%
5 HALL Noah 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
7 FENG Brendan 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 17%
8 PARCELL Colby 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
9 LAUDO Joseph 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47% 3%
10 BAIN Tiernan 100% 86% 50% 16% 3% < 1% -
11 RAUSCHER Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 40%
12 FAN Alexandria 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
13 LIAO Sirui 100% 98% 79% 32% 6% -
14 BENE Paul 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 8% -
15 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12% -
16 BENE Andrew 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
17 XIE Eric 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
18 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
19 RACHAPROLU Divyagnyaan Siddartha 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
20 STRUCKER Rocco 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
21 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 96% 68% 21% 1% -
22 HEANEY Sam 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 6%
23 GOSNELL James 100% 89% 55% 19% 4% -
24 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25% -
25 URIBE David 100% 97% 74% 27% 4% - -
26 MUSICK Takoda 100% 100% 99% 83% 42% 8% -
27 EVELYN Wyatt 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
28 HAMILTON Jacob 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1%
29 WANG Ziyao 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
30 CLICK Joe 100% 29% 3% - - -
31 SCHEURER Edwin 100% 98% 46% 9% 1% -
32 LASH patrick 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% -
33 COUCH Cassie 100% 99% 85% 48% 10% 1%
34 DADIO Daniel 100% 96% 72% 31% 6% - -
35 DIEBLER Noah 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
36 PARR William 100% 80% 33% 4% - -
37 CLEMMONS William 100% 59% 14% 1% - - -
38 SCHUPPIN Charles 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.