GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 12:00 PM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Marcus 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
2 LEYVA MATOS Danyer 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
3 ASHIDA Tomoaki 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
3 LU Alex 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
5 ALLEN Henry G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
6 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
7 YANG David H. 100% 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
8 KUE Temujin 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
9 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
10 RUBY Asher 100% 100% 88% 54% 18% 3% -
11 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 98% 80% 37% 7% 1% -
12 SUN Henry 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
13 BAILEY William F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 34%
14 RONE Tosan 100% 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
15 HEYBOER Jason 100% 98% 84% 48% 16% 2% -
16 HOLLIDAY Christopher Mansfield-Scott 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
17 KANAR Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48% 11%
18 ZINSER James 100% 95% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
19 ARATA Connor 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
20 FEEHAN Conor 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
21 KABARITI Karim 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
22 POWELL Sean 100% 99% 87% 50% 13% 1% -
23 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
24 DAVIS Benjamin 100% 87% 46% 13% 2% - -
25 HERRERA Xavier 100% 93% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
26 TOWNE Benjamin 100% 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
27 DIEPSTRA Jeremy 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
28 CHO Michael 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
29 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 10% 1%
30 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
31 UNTEREKER Billy 100% 32% 4% - - - -
32 KOLACKI Gabriel 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
33 BLAKEMAN Michael J. 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
34 TERPSTRA Clive 100% 3% - - - - -
35 MISIOURA Mark 100% 95% 58% 17% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.