Rain City Fall RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, November 8, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHANG Aiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
2 LIGERET Leo 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
3 RYU Griffin 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
3 CHEN Steven 100% 98% 81% 36% 6%
6 LO Enzo 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
8 LAO Harvey 100% 100% 95% 70% 23%
9 YU Ethan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
10 PESKIN Kepler 100% 98% 80% 35%
11 SUN Oliver 100% 92% 57% 15%
12 SAVAGE Angus 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
13 MCBRIDE Sam 100% 72% 23% 3% -
14 LAM Lazarus 100% 79% 34% 5%
15 LIN Conrad 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
16 LI Alistair 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
17 MA Madrid 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
18 ZHANG Dennis 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
19 LI Jonathan 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% -
20 LIN Calvin 100% 74% 28% 4%
21 OH Timothy 100% 64% 18% 2% -
22 ONG Alexander 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% -
23 CHERNENKO Boris 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.