BAY AREA TROPHY @ Bay Area Fencing Club

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 3:30 PM

BAY AREA FENCING CLUB - Pleasanton, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHU Claire - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
2 GU Alexandra - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
3 LIN Zhengxuan - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
3 LUI Jamie - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
5 TANG Ming-Hao (Audrey) 3% 21% 36% 27% 11% 2% < 1%
6 LAI Olivia - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
7 YANG Jaron 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
8 SPICER-YOUAKIM Benjamin - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
9 CHEN Celina 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
10 SHUM KEIRA 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
11 YUAN Vincent 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
12 SIN Chad 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
13 MISSON Arya 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
14 ROSIN Milena 3% 21% 37% 28% 10% 1% -
15 WU Kunyi 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
16 JIJO Jayln 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
17 LIM Xander-Zain 1% 10% 25% 33% 22% 8% 1%
18 CHANG George 1% 9% 28% 38% 20% 4% -
19 KIM Owen 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
20 SHANG Jason 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
21 CAMIÑAS Oliver < 1% 2% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.