RIT Fall Open 2025

Div I-A Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 4:00 PM

Clark Gymnasium at RIT - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
2 GREENE Patrick 100% 95% 61% 19% 2%
3 WILSON Benjamin H. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
3 VASILEV Alex 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 4%
5 MUELLER Travis 100% 90% 46% 6% -
6 FRASSETTO Marcus A. 100% 99% 80% 35% 2%
7 VASILEV Victor 100% 89% 44% 10% 1% -
8 CHEWAKULA Piyush Naidu 100% 100% 97% 81% 39% 6%
9 NGUYEN Grayson 100% 100% 93% 59% 11%
10 BAE Alexander 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
11 DEL TORO Diego 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
12 BROUILLETTE Aidan 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
13 LOUGH Abigail 100% 94% 71% 37% 11% 1%
14 HINCHEY Sean 100% 98% 80% 36% 8% 1%
15 HAGER William 100% 99% 86% 50% 12%
16 BUNNAGE Lavie 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
17 KHALID Wali 100% 100% 97% 77% 30%
18 STOVER Jackson 100% 99% 82% 44% 13% 1%
19 BIELINSKI Maggie 100% 86% 48% 13% 1%
20 SUI Daniel 100% 46% 9% 1% -
21 MCCORMICK Quinn 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
22 WALTERS Rowan 100% 85% 47% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.