TFC November Fence-a-thon

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 8:00 AM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHAN Catherine 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
2 PAWAR Sanvi 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
3 DONG Nancy 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
3 ZHANG Charlie 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3%
5 GU Evan 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
6 HO Kasper 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
7 KO Adeline 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
8 LIN Dylan 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
9 KHANAL Sarah 100% 99% 85% 46% 11%
10 WANG Ian 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
11 WONG Kingston 100% 90% 49% 10% 1% -
12 DONG YIKUN 100% 93% 64% 26% 4%
13 SOUSA Lauren 100% 61% 18% 2% -
14 ZENG Cayden 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
15 SHU Kayla 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
16 LUO Olivia 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%
17 SUN Suri 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
18 CHOU Noel 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 11%
19 HSU Courtney 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
20 KUO Esme 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1%
21 HSU Jayren 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% -
22 ZHONG Dexter 100% 88% 47% 8% - -
22 LOU Alexander 100% 67% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.