Olympia D'Artagnan's Challenge 2A (Y8/Y12 Epee)

Unrated Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Olympia Fencing Center - Cambridge, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YONG Connor 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
2 EFFEL Samuel 100% 100% 99% 89% 37%
3 YADAV Aarav 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
3 SARKAR Aum 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
5 SON Joshua 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
6 SCHELTZ Owen 100% 99% 91% 63% 21% 1%
7 HAROON Alesar 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
8 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 85% 43% 11% 1% -
9 YONG Dylan 100% 100% 99% 88% 41%
10 AINSWORTH Rhys 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1%
11 CHATTERJEE Josh 100% 84% 33% 3% -
12 GENCER Alp 100% 94% 59% 13% 1%
13 LANGAN Dylan 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
14 BARBIER Benjamin 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
15 AGARWAL Avirat 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
16 JOHNSON August 100% 99% 93% 65% 23% 1%
17 EICHELBERGER Luke 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 9%
18 ENESCU Alex 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2%
19 SAHNI Ravi 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
20 VU Trung 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% -
21 WYON Zephyr 100% 49% 9% 1% -
22 ZHUO Xiaohan Charles 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
23 GUTWEILER Charlie 100% 100% 88% 53% 17% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.