Fencers Club Open - Senior Men and Women's Epee II

Men's Épée

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Fencers Club Inc. - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	DANIEL Camron	-	-	1%	12%	50%	36%
2	LIOU Solomon	-	-	2%	16%	46%	37%
3	REPIC Oliver	-	2%	11%	33%	41%	13%
3	KYPRAIOS Nicholas	-	1%	17%	50%	28%	4%
5	CARPENTER Liam	-	-	-	6%	43%	51%
6	KOEPPEL Levi	-	-	4%	20%	42%	34%
7	HU Robert	-	-	3%	16%	42%	39%
8	LIU Fengqi	1%	13%	47%	31%	7%	1%
9	TABLEMAN Doug	-	-	1%	15%	54%	30%
10	MA Sean	-	-	5%	26%	46%	21%
11	CZEPLA Andrew	-	23%	56%	20%	1%	-
12	LAU LUCAS	31%	43%	21%	5%	-	-
13	WU Jerry	1%	9%	27%	37%	22%	4%
14	SVERDLOV Seth	-	-	1%	10%	48%	42%
15	LECUYER-SCHOONMAKER Declan	2%	13%	34%	35%	14%	2%
16	LIN Yufei	13%	40%	37%	10%	1%	-
17	MILINKOVIC Maksim	-	6%	29%	49%	14%	1%
18	RVACHEV Michael	2%	13%	32%	35%	16%	3%
19	BALDRICK Callum	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	2%
20	MOORE James	43%	46%	10%	1%	-	-
21	POLSTER Joshua	-	3%	24%	54%	17%	1%
22	BROADBELT Kirk	26%	45%	25%	5%	-	-
23	MAKOLO Hudson	8%	29%	37%	20%	5%	-
23	HALLIK Siim Kaspar	7%	41%	37%	13%	2%	-
25	RIFKIND Neil	21%	40%	28%	9%	1%	-
26	WAGNER Bennett	94%	6%	-	-	-	-
27	KHAW-BRIOT Julien	33%	52%	14%	1%	-	-
28	JUNG Max	19%	47%	29%	4%	-	-
29	CHEMAKIN Maxim	2%	56%	37%	6%	-	-
30	KIM Cris	4%	21%	39%	28%	7%	1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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