RYC/RJC of the Rockies Fall

Y-12 Women's Saber

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
1 DUDNICK Caitlin - - - 2% 8% 21% 32% 27% 10%
2 NARRELL Olive - 1% 7% 19% 29% 26% 13% 4% -
3 CHAN Clara - 2% 10% 23% 30% 23% 10% 2% -
3 WINSLOW Zaria - 1% 4% 12% 25% 30% 21% 8% 1%
5 ZHOU Charlotte 1% 9% 21% 29% 24% 12% 4% 1% -
6 CHAKRABARTI Raahi - - 3% 10% 22% 30% 24% 10% 2%
7 BELL Nora Grace 1% 6% 18% 28% 26% 15% 5% 1% -
8 AHMED Jennah 8% 24% 32% 23% 10% 3% - - -
9 BOENING Lorelei < 1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.