RYC/RJC of the Rockies Fall

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Denver Fencing Center - Denver, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
1 DUDNICK Caitlin - - - 2% 6% 15% 25% 26% 17% 6% 1%
2 OLESKY Ellie - - - 2% 6% 15% 25% 27% 18% 7% 1%
3 MERRITT Annabelle - - - - 2% 9% 20% 30% 26% 11% 1%
3 THOMAS Riley - - 2% 8% 18% 25% 24% 15% 6% 1% -
5 NARRELL Olive - 1% 6% 16% 25% 25% 17% 7% 2% - -
6 SCHAMBERGER Amelia - 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 19% 9% 3% - -
7 BELL Nora Grace 1% 7% 19% 27% 24% 14% 6% 1% - - -
8 CHAKRABARTI Raahi - 1% 5% 14% 24% 26% 18% 9% 3% - -
9 WINSLOW Zaria - 1% 6% 15% 24% 25% 18% 8% 2% - -
10 AHMED Jennah 10% 27% 31% 20% 9% 2% - - - - -
11 AMADOR Elena - - 2% 7% 17% 25% 25% 16% 7% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.