GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div III Men's Épée

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 8:00 AM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SAYLOR Henry 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
2 PENG Ethan 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
3 LARSON Vaughn 100% 100% 90% 55% 16% 2%
3 HUANG Max 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
5 STREETER Oliver 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 15%
6 JERDEE trevor 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
7 SEABLOOM Jack 100% 100% 97% 74% 32% 5%
8 KOUTYCHENKO Anton 100% 77% 34% 7% -
9 YATES Graeme 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
10 WYCHULIS Tristan 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
11 JERDEE Colton 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4%
12 SAYLOR Nathaniel 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
13 FORTUNA Chase 100% 98% 82% 41% 4%
14 TICHENOR Abreham 100% 73% 29% 6% -
15 LEE Wilson 100% 97% 69% 28% 6% -
16 WILTSE Alexander 100% 82% 41% 10% 1%
17 STONE Ken 100% 82% 39% 8% -
18 VELDTMAN rafe 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
19 SHI Yeyu 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
20 MARZOUK Moustafa 100% 24% 2% - - -
21 MEISER Charlie 100% 28% 3% - - -
22 JANSEN Conner 100% 99% 89% 54% 15% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.