GRAFA RYC\RJCC\ROC- Third Coast Cup

Div I-A Women's Foil

Sunday, November 9, 2025 at 12:00 PM

MSA Fieldhouse - GRAND RAPIDS, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
2 TAN Dorathy 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
3 TUCKER ALARCON Frida 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
3 AADHI Hansika 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
5 HARRIS Parker 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
6 ZOLDAN Gweniveve A. 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
7 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
8 SONG Jenna 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 13%
9 SALMI-BYDALEK Ada 100% 93% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
10 OS Danielle 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
11 KOZINSKI Allison E. 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
12 COLLINS Anna 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
13 XIONG Isabel 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
14 MORSE Katherine 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
15 BLAKEY Heaven 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
16 VELAZQUEZ Rosa T. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
17 CAMPBELL June 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
18 SONG Erin 100% 88% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
19 LEGGETT Emilia 100% 92% 57% 20% 3% - -
20 SUN Yixuan 100% 40% 6% - - - -
21 SHUSTA Lily 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.