Apex Novice Cup - November

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GREENWALD Silas 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% < 1% -
2 SPARKS EVERETT 100% 93% 59% 17% 2%
3 SILVA Lia 100% 85% 47% 14% 2%
3 JENSEN Luke 100% 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1%
5 YEUNG Asher Pak Yu 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
6 PERRY Deacon 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
8 HOIMES Eliana 100% 90% 52% 13% 1%
9 FILONOV Elisei 100% 100% 95% 69% 21%
10 LU Hantian 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
11 BASH Benjamin 100% 98% 86% 52% 16% 2%
12 KING Stephan 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
13 SANDHU Bani 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
14 LEE Spencer 100% 98% 84% 48% 13%
15 MENON Anika 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13% 1%
16 IMTANAVANICH Tinn 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
17 PASOTTI Riccardo 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
18 YANG Junbo 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
19 BEAN Adeline 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.