Thanksgiving Throwdown

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PARCELL Colby - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
2 ALLEN Asa - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
3 HOWERTON Beckett 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 7%
3 WANG Ziyao 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
5 MICHALSKI Brandon 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% -
6 DIEBLER Noah 4% 21% 40% 30% 6% -
7 CARTER Robert 11% 35% 37% 16% 2% -
8 FELTS Parker - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
9 MUSICK Takoda 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2%
10 DAVIS Jenson 1% 16% 39% 34% 10% 1%
11 EVELYN Wyatt 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
12 BELL Gabriel 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.