Youth Development Event- Portland, Maine

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 9:00 AM

Portland Fencing Center - Portland, ME, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 DAVE Neil 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 35% 8%
2 BLAIS julian 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33% 6% -
3 PELLERIN Liam 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 51% 21% 4%
4 RENSHAW Hunter 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 32% 10% 1%
5 MOTE Adelie 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2% -
6 LAVOIE Cecilia 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
7 LANDON Forest 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
8 BRODER Olivia 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
9 SCHNEIDER Aiden 100% 94% 70% 37% 12% 3% - -
10 SWALLA Cayden 100% 100% 98% 89% 67% 37% 13% 2%
11 KALAPALA Olivia 100% 98% 81% 47% 17% 3% - -
12 TAGGERSELL-GRAEF Luna 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 3% -
13 JENKINS Charles 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 28% 8% 1%
14 HICKS Hadley 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% - -
15 ALTO Erin 100% 99% 90% 49% 13% 2% - -
15 DANE Orson 100% 100% 94% 73% 40% 13% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.