Saratoga Open Youth Saber Tournament

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Saratoga Fencing Club - Saratoga, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 LI Sky - - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
2 FERRING Theo - - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
3 WHITE Marcus - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
3 JECHA Zachary - - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
5 YUNG Nathan - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
6 LIU Franklin - 1% 6% 20% 32% 28% 11% 2%
7 MALLARD Arthur - 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 4%
8 PAN Lai An 2% 15% 37% 36% 10% 1% -
9 DOUGLAS Milo 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% - - -
10 GOSAVI Amiya 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
11 SISTLA Aditya 1% 8% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
12 CALLAHAN Macsen 5% 25% 37% 24% 8% 1% -
13 SEVERT David 2% 14% 31% 31% 17% 5% 1% -
14 GOURJI Roman 33% 42% 20% 5% - - -
15 YAO Mannie 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.