Charles Mears Memorial

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Murdough Athletic Center - Hudson, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 APANPA Simeon 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 13%
2 DAVIS Jennifer 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% -
3 RIVERA Ricky N. 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 26% 3%
3 MILLER Bryton 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
5 RYAN Nash 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
6 SAMALA Reese 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% < 1%
7 SWEET Zachariah 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 1%
8 KIM Hakkyun 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
9 ZMEILI Talia 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
10 MCGLASHAN Theo 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
11 LOWE Eian 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 7% 1%
12 FRIEDMAN Andres 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 3% -
13 ZHU Qihao 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 1%
14 KASS Sara 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
15 O'CONNELL Seth 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 5%
16 ADAMISIN Brayden 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
17 LOWE Zander 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
18 PIZOR Luke 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1% -
20 O'CONNELL Daniel 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 10% 1%
21 RODRIGUEZ Jocelyn 100% 86% 46% 11% 1% - -
22 YANG Christina 100% 100% 94% 61% 20% 3%
23 VINS Katherine 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
24 LOWE Brianj 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
25 WILLIAMS Theodore 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 4%
26 NESTOFF Alexander 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
27 KOCSIS Cherry 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.