2025 TCFC November Challenges

E & Under Mixed Foil

Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 8:30 AM

TCFC - St. Paul, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 NAIDL Micah 1% 8% 32% 45% 14%
2 BUENAFLOR Jeffrey - 2% 29% 55% 14%
3 ROBBINS Christopher - 1% 8% 38% 53%
3 KIM Ethen 8% 34% 42% 15% 1%
5 DAVIS Jace W. 6% 29% 40% 21% 4%
6 ROY Griffin 1% 8% 30% 42% 20%
7 MOGENSEN Ezra 18% 46% 30% 6% -
8 KOTCH Brodie 38% 47% 15% 1% -
9 ATHOW Stephanie J. - 1% 28% 51% 20%
10 NEPAL Noukou Asha 37% 45% 16% 2% -
11 PETERSON Quinn 35% 55% 9% - -
12 UNGEMAH Joseph 5% 22% 38% 28% 8%
13 SKORHEIM Noel < 1% 7% 28% 44% 20%
13 SZUDY Gabe 30% 44% 22% 4% -
15 JOHN Elsa 1% 13% 39% 38% 9%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.