November NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 POSSICK Lola P. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 LEE Hanah - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
3 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
3 LEE Hyewon - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
5 JEON Yuju - 2% 13% 33% 38% 14%
6 HILD Nisha - - 1% 6% 23% 43% 28%
7 JOHNSON Dagny L. - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
8 CHOI Yeni - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
9 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - - - 4% 96%
10 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
11 SAYLES Nina R. - - 1% 9% 37% 44% 8%
12 LEE Alexandra B. - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
13 PAUL Lila - - - 3% 18% 46% 32%
14 LIM Jaslene 1% 12% 42% 39% 5% -
15 LIU Sophie - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
16 KWON Hannah 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
17 FEIG Sela - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
18 WANG Callie - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
19 ZHANG XUANYI - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
20 FERNANDEZ Martina - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
21 JOHNSON Honor - - - - 1% 20% 79%
22 TSUI Natalie - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
23 LONG Jessie 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
24 KER Grace - - 1% 10% 35% 45% 9%
25 MALEK Zolie 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 7% 1%
26 KIM Yoonseo - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
27 CORTEYN Jolien - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 12%
28 FEARNS Zara A. - - 1% 5% 21% 46% 27%
29 SEON Eunbi - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
30 MCKEE Brynnley - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
31 WANG Yixuan - - 3% 17% 38% 32% 8%
32 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - - 2% 12% 38% 46% 2%
33 KOVACS Sophia - - - - 1% 16% 83%
34 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
34 CHOI Charlotte 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% < 1%
36 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. - - - 1% 23% 76%
37 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - 1% 9% 27% 41% 22%
38 BOTELLO Natalia - - - - - 8% 92%
39 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
40 LU Vivian Y. - - - - 1% 17% 81%
40 LAURI Keira - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
42 FESTA Carina - - 2% 9% 26% 40% 23%
43 HU Anna 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
44 SCHMIDT Isabel 1% 11% 33% 37% 15% 3% -
44 JIANG Evelyn 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
46 CHEN Ashley - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
47 HUAI Delilah - - 4% 17% 37% 32% 10%
48 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 1% 13% 35% 33% 14% 3% -
49 CHIARELLI Valentina 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% -
50 DJAMIRZE Zara - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 16%
51 HUANG Doris 3% 18% 35% 31% 11% 1% -
52 LEOU Korina 1% 7% 24% 36% 24% 7% 1%
53 OISHI Megumi - - - 3% 32% 50% 14%
54 BUSH Bethany 7% 32% 39% 19% 4% - -
54 LIN Nicole - 1% 7% 22% 36% 27% 7%
56 KIM Zoe - - - 1% 8% 37% 55%
56 ANTHONY Alexia B. - 2% 11% 31% 35% 18% 3%
58 WEI JoyAnn 2% 12% 31% 34% 18% 3% -
59 KIM Satie 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
60 OCA Merci 9% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
61 DRAGON Rainer - - 1% 10% 46% 37% 7%
62 LIU Sydney - 2% 10% 29% 38% 20% 1%
63 XIAO julie - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
64 GUGALA Hanna 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
65 JANG Jiwon - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
66 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - - 5% 27% 48% 20%
67 KONDEV Elizabeth - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 8%
68 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - 1% 6% 27% 49% 18%
69 PAK Kaitlyn - - - - 6% 37% 57%
69 GOLDIN Nina 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
71 SHEARER Natalie E. - - 3% 14% 34% 38% 12%
72 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - - - 4% 29% 66%
73 VADASZ Ibla P. - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 8%
74 HUANG Pierra 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
75 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 2% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
76 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
77 TSE Angelina - 2% 13% 34% 37% 12% 1%
77 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 4% 22% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
79 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 2% 15% 38% 35% 10% 1% -
80 JEONG Katie - 1% 8% 24% 36% 26% 5%
81 ZENG Sarah - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
82 GAY Sasha 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
83 GENTILE Vittoria 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
83 KIRBY Skye 32% 44% 20% 3% < 1% - -
85 LIU Yifei - 1% 5% 19% 38% 33% 5%
86 MAK Kaitlin 9% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
87 KINKADE Ellie 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
88 HSU Leah - 4% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
89 XU Yiyun - - 3% 15% 37% 36% 9%
90 MOON Claire 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
91 ZOLLER Noelle 2% 17% 47% 31% 3% -
92 SAYSON Andrea 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
93 DAMBAL Sasha 1% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4% -
94 KIM Catherine - - 2% 12% 35% 38% 14%
95 YUEN Nicole 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3% -
96 GAUTAM Sahana - 2% 13% 31% 36% 17% 1%
97 LEI Zitong (Meya) 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
98 YOUNG Charlotte G. - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10% -
98 HAMMERSTROM Aria 3% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
100 LU Elaine - - 2% 11% 33% 40% 14%
101 CHIN Sophia J. - - 4% 20% 42% 28% 6%
102 BOYNTON Ainsley - 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 3%
102 DANTULURI Shalini 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 6% 1%
104 LIU kai yin aria 2% 13% 30% 34% 17% 3% -
105 DHAR Rana 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
106 ARNOLD Hali 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 4% -
107 YANG Lea - 4% 17% 37% 33% 10% -
108 SHEARER Alena 13% 35% 35% 14% 3% - -
108 CONG Anne 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
110 SHI Julia - 1% 8% 28% 40% 22% -
111 CHANG Norah 5% 26% 42% 24% 3% - -
112 DANG Kelia - 2% 13% 32% 35% 15% 2%
113 YU Stella 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
114 BRENNER Leanne - - 1% 15% 67% 17%
115 LIU Hannah 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1%
116 YU Skylar 29% 49% 19% 2% - -
117 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
117 LIN Elaine 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% -
119 DOHERTY Maverick L. - - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
120 TONG Kunling - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
121 JOO Yebin 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
122 CHAVAN Arya 19% 40% 30% 10% 1% - -
123 DAVIS Jayna M. 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
124 GREENBAUM Ella K. - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
124 ELSHAKANKIRI Janna 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
126 AWAD Royce 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
127 CHAN Jolene 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1% -
128 DUFF Caitlin 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
129 BERRIOS Catalina 24% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
129 NADKARNI Marisa 9% 33% 37% 17% 4% - -
131 FAVO Isabella - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
132 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 4% -
133 MANN Sophia J. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 1%
134 BAIK Sarah 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
135 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 23% 42% 27% 8% 1% - -
136 WONG Natalie 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
137 SHTREVENSKY Maria - 1% 5% 21% 39% 30% 4%
138 FAN Alexandria 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
139 XIONG Haojiao - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
140 CASTELO Soleil 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
141 REN Katherine 3% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2% -
142 NAIR Supriya 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
143 WARD O’REAR Reghan - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 22%
144 GUVEN Coco 4% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
145 MAKLIN Sofia 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5% -
146 SINGER Ellery 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
147 HWANG Charlotte 31% 43% 21% 5% - -
148 GONG Joy 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
149 MUNGUIA Mila 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
150 TENG EMMA 1% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
151 YUCEL Emine I. - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 14%
151 LUKER Hannah 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
153 ZHAI AMY 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
154 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1% -
155 VINOKUR Anita 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
156 HUANG Neila 45% 41% 13% 2% - - -
157 COLTER Aurora 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
158 DUDNICK Morgan 4% 21% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
158 FUNG Iris 4% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2% -
160 SUNG Olivia 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
161 NG Sophia 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
162 DAVIDOVA Kira 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
163 CROOKS Riley 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
164 CARTER Keely 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
165 ZHANG Ashley 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% - -
165 XU Elaine 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
167 SHUM Cindy 9% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
168 WANG Jiayi 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
169 KAUL Tara 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% - -
170 IANNUZZI Lucy 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
170 BROWN Aria 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
172 WONG Charlene 38% 42% 17% 3% - - -
173 XU Emily T. 3% 18% 35% 31% 12% 1% -
174 LI Sonia 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
175 STADNIK Emilia 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
176 BORTAI Eliza 15% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
177 LOMOTAN Addison 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
178 MACKAY Katherine 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
179 TENG Christine Renmei 6% 28% 42% 22% 2% - -
180 SO Catelyn - 2% 12% 33% 38% 13% 1%
181 BORGUETA Madison 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
181 LEE Alyson 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
183 LIN Annika 17% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
183 XIE Nora 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1% -
185 DHAR Layla 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
186 KWON Ava 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
187 TA-ZHOU Emma 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
187 HSIEH Lucia 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
189 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
189 BUHAY Kirsten M. 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2% -
191 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
191 XIAO Cindy 20% 39% 29% 11% 2% - -
193 NAYAK Esha 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
193 BERMAN greta 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% - -
195 UEMOTO Lynn 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
196 WU Yuwei 11% 38% 35% 14% 3% - -
197 WILSON Eva 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
197 MAK Jayden 20% 41% 29% 8% 1% - -
199 GHOSH Priyanka - < 1% 2% 10% 29% 40% 20%
200 KIM Karen 10% 35% 39% 15% 1% - -
200 GONZALEZ Veronika 4% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1% -
202 NING Lynn 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
203 CHIANG Melissa 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
204 DIECK Miranda P. 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% - -
205 SHMULER Fiona 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
206 MUND Ruth 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7% -
207 HAN Emma 31% 41% 22% 6% 1% - -
208 KHOST Maeve 53% 36% 10% 1% - - -
209 KANG Soeun 37% 47% 14% 1% - -
210 CHEN Elaine 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
211 MCAFEE Jada 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
212 LAFFY Lily 49% 38% 11% 1% - - -
213 MERCHANT Aishwarya 2% 15% 35% 34% 13% 2%
214 RAGHURAMAN Anishka 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
215 CHOWDHERY Myra 47% 40% 12% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.