November NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Monday, November 17, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Fort Worth Convention Center - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 70%
2 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 72%
3 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 22%
5 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 69%
6 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
7 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
8 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 19%
9 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
10 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
11 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 33%
12 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 40% 8%
13 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44% 4%
14 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29%
15 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
16 BAE Yooju 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
17 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 9%
18 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45%
19 YANG Emma 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
20 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
21 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
22 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 19%
23 LEE Seohyeon 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 15%
24 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
26 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
27 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
28 KIM Solmin 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 38% 5%
29 LIU Samantha 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
30 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
31 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 16% -
32 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
33 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 91%
34 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
35 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
36 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
37 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
37 LEE Hyeonyoung 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
39 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
40 NOTT Adrienne (Adi) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 68%
40 ESTEBAN Maxine Isabel 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
42 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 5%
43 GUAN Adeline 100% 86% 46% 12% 2% - -
44 OH Ceana 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10% -
45 LUO Ziyue 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
45 LEE Nakyung 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
47 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
48 LUO Miranda 100% 89% 51% 14% 1% -
49 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
50 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 12%
51 WANG YiXi 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
52 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
53 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
54 BING Charlotte 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 5% -
55 YANG Iris 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
56 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
57 WANG CAROL 100% 94% 65% 24% 3% - -
58 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
59 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
60 YU Jane 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
61 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 95% 68% 26% 3% -
62 FENG Grace 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
63 YANG Audrey 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
64 MU Allison 100% 99% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
65 FETECAU Ilinca 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2% -
66 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
67 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% -
68 KIM Minji 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 33% 4%
69 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 99% 88% 47% 9%
70 CHEN Renee 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
71 PAULUS Isabella 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
72 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
73 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 13% 1%
73 CHUN Adelle Ha-Eune 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
75 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 10% 1%
75 FENG Audrey 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
77 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 29%
78 LIU Enjia Sherry liu 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
79 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
79 KIM Nayoon 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
81 COOPER Piper W. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
82 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 7%
83 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2%
84 KIM Sydney 100% 97% 76% 35% 5% -
85 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 96% 75% 34% 4% -
86 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 97% 75% 24% 2%
87 PARK Lina 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
88 YONG Rosalind 100% 87% 52% 17% 2% - -
88 MANCINI Ludovica 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
90 MI Aileen 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
91 LI Han (Helina) 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
92 SHIM Grace J. 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
93 HO Addison 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
93 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 88% 45% 12% 2% - -
95 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
96 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
97 MEI Sarah 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
98 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 96% 66% 12%
99 KNAPP Isabella 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
100 WYNN Kylie 100% 76% 30% 4% - -
101 AADHI Hansika 100% 92% 61% 20% 2% -
102 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 84% 46% 13% 1%
103 XIE Su 100% 58% 12% 1% -
104 LOCKE Savannah 100% 99% 78% 37% 9% 1%
105 LI Sophia M. 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3% -
106 JOO Natalie 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 12% 1%
107 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
108 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
109 KIM Claire 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
110 WU Nicole M. 100% 90% 55% 19% 4% - -
111 HU Jenna 100% 92% 60% 21% 2% - -
112 VIANNA Gabriella 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% -
113 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
114 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
114 JIANG Chloe 100% 83% 37% 8% 1% - -
116 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 73% 29% 6% 1% - -
117 SWANSON Alexa 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1% -
118 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
119 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
120 HARRIS Parker 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
121 HARRIS Julia 100% 83% 39% 7% - -
122 SUN Emily 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% -
123 ZHOU Chenchu 100% 99% 87% 56% 19% 2%
124 DUAN Sophie 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
125 XIE Lillian 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
126 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
127 WANG Amabel 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% 1% -
128 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
129 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 93% 65% 24% 3% - -
130 LENK Sophie 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
131 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 4%
132 HAN Katherine 100% 90% 57% 21% 4% - -
133 QUINN Anna 100% 59% 17% 3% - - -
133 PUTHOFF Olivia 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
135 CAO Kayla 100% 42% 7% 1% - - -
136 REN Kayley 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 1% -
137 LIU Ashley 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
138 ZUNIC Milena 100% 57% 17% 2% - - -
139 LI Joy 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
140 ZHANG Ivy 100% 80% 35% 5% - -
141 BROWN Lola 100% 94% 64% 25% 5% - -
142 PENG Charlotte 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
142 EYER Brooke 100% 70% 26% 4% - -
144 JOHNSON Shelby 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1% -
145 LI Savannah 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
145 NEUMANN Erika 100% 50% 10% 1% - - -
147 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
148 ZHOU Joi 100% 11% - - - -
149 WANG DINA C. 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
150 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 70% 19% 2% -
151 WATSON Evelyn 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
151 BALY Jenna 100% 90% 55% 17% 3% - -
153 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
154 MATOS MENA Deyanara 100% 72% 29% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.