The Sledgehammer 2025 RYC | RJCC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Elizabeth B. Searle '74 Athletic Center at Garrison Forest School - Owings Mills, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DANTON Ryan - - - 7% 33% 51% 8%
2 CHEN Ethan - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
3 HOLLANDER Max 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5%
3 PARK Joshua - 4% 20% 38% 30% 7%
5 KING Caleb - 3% 17% 37% 31% 10% 1%
6 HUDSON Jedidiah - 4% 19% 39% 31% 7%
7 XU Jonathan 7% 31% 38% 19% 4% -
8 LIU Mason - 1% 7% 26% 40% 22% 4%
9 MACK Julian 2% 23% 40% 27% 7% 1%
10 SILVESTRI Marius - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
11 SAFAI Bardia 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
12 OBRIEN Seamus 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
13 JI Eli 14% 40% 34% 11% 1% - -
14 ABAYA Jacob 1% 12% 35% 37% 14% 2%
15 MENESES-VAUGHN Lucas - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
16 CREANGA Matthew 6% 28% 40% 21% 5% - -
17 CHONG Rasilio 43% 41% 14% 2% - -
18 MERA-BRITO Gabriel 33% 44% 19% 3% - - -
19 STANSBURY Malcolm 72% 24% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.