The Sledgehammer 2025 RYC | RJCC

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 11:00 AM

Elizabeth B. Searle '74 Athletic Center at Garrison Forest School - Owings Mills, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 LI Nathan - 1% 7% 36% 57%
2 KWON Joon - 6% 25% 44% 24%
3 FERRARO Antonio 33% 43% 20% 4% -
3 SWORDS Frank - 5% 23% 45% 27%
5 ZHAO Evan 16% 39% 33% 11% 1%
6 CHEN Remsen 9% 36% 40% 13% 1%
7 TIAN Michael 1% 10% 34% 44% 11%
8 PETROSYAN David 12% 40% 36% 10% 1%
9 ZHANG Luyang 23% 46% 25% 5% -
10 SAUDEK Felix 14% 37% 35% 13% 2%
11 FERRARO Marco 8% 29% 40% 20% 3%
12 BUCKLEY Charlie 41% 47% 11% 1% -
13 NATH Rishi 3% 18% 36% 32% 11%
14 LEBOWITZ Charles < 1% 2% 17% 48% 33%
15 CASTILLO Theodore < 1% 17% 56% 25% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.