SAS Pirate Cup #2

Senior Mixed Saber

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
3 RIGGINS Littleton 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
3 NAIR Sujit 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 13%
5 WANG Tina 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 38%
6 GAFFNEY Mylos 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
7 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
8 GOGNA Rehan 100% 100% 98% 77% 28% 2%
9 RICH Augustus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
10 ENGLE Aidric 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
11 STATEN Joseph 100% 100% 94% 66% 19%
12 HOLMES Xavier 100% 100% 98% 71% 5% -
13 MA Yanjie 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 14%
14 HONG Hunter 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 5%
15 CHIU Philippa 100% 90% 55% 17% 2%
16 LEE River L 100% 100% 97% 78% 33% 5%
17 YANG Caroline 100% 100% 97% 75% 26% 2%
18 KING Robin 100% 100% 98% 84% 43% 7%
19 BEELER Parker 100% 95% 66% 15% - -
20 BECK Mica 100% 98% 77% 27% 3% -
21 BARCZAY Sara E. 100% 92% 61% 22% 4% -
22 ASHTIANI Shaya 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 26%
23 JOHNSON Jack 100% 95% 65% 19% 2% -
24 WEST Mia 100% 87% 48% 12% 1% -
25 XIA Daniel 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 2%
26 MOODY Paul 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
27 DEVASIA Nisha 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% 1%
28 DAVISSON Zack 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
29 HARFORD Benjamin 100% 81% 38% 8% - -
30 CARLUCCI Laura 100% 100% 100% 91% 54% 7%
31 ARMSTRONG Doug 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
32 SIVORAPHONH Ryan H. 100% 96% 75% 33% 5% -
33 DIRSMITH Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 91% 4%
34 WONG Lucia 100% 65% 20% 3% - -
35 SUNIDJA Indira 100% 86% 45% 10% 1%
36 ALLEN Oliver 100% 73% 23% 3% - -
37 REITER Michael L. 100% 99% 86% 46% 11% 1%
37 HODZIC Hana 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
37 MUSSER Westin 100% 84% 44% 13% 2% -
40 WILCOX Kellen 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
41 DELIC Luka 100% 88% 42% 7% - -
42 DEGEN Anita L. 100% 87% 50% 14% 1% -
43 BRENNAN Annabelle 100% 64% 16% 1% - -
44 KIL Mitchell 100% 56% 10% - - -
45 GUEA Mark 100% 42% 7% - - -
46 TING Alexander 100% 82% 39% 7% - -
46 WALCH Ryan 100% 67% 15% 1% - -
48 WONG Alice 100% 66% 20% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.