Real Turkey Tussle #3 Fargo

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, November 22, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Grace Lutheran School - Fargo, ND, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 NIELSEN Josie 11% 34% 36% 16% 2%
2 NELSON Noah - 9% 35% 38% 15% 2%
3 BURCHILL Carter 5% 34% 47% 13% 1%
3 GALACIO Nuvane - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
5 TUEL Jude 5% 26% 41% 24% 4% -
6 WILLOUGHBY Clay - - 4% 23% 45% 28%
7 LIMKE Sean 32% 46% 20% 2% -
8 BIRCHARD Joshua - 3% 28% 47% 22%
9 BAYER Isaac - - 7% 50% 43%
10 BLUMHARDT Evan 42% 54% 4% < 1% -
11 LEMER Domenik - 1% 20% 49% 30%
12 GARNESS John - 16% 48% 34% 1%
13 BURCHILL Grace 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
14 ROBINSON Matthew - 4% 23% 46% 26%
15 SKORHEIM Noel 46% 44% 9% - -
16 BENNETT Elijah 35% 45% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.